Two questions hide inside “who drafted best.” One is who owns the best roster — that’s bluehat, who traded a spare running back to theolejimster for an extra second-round pick, spent it on Brock Bowers, and came out with the most projected points where it actually counts. The other is who drafted well — that’s MothCafe, picking 11th, who turned the 1/2 turn into Gibbs and Jeanty and was still finding value in round 9, long after most of this league had stopped paying attention. They are separated by less than a point of expected win total, which says less about how close they are than about how little separated anybody. This was not a well-drafted league: a kicker went in round 8, two managers finished the draft without a position they are required to start, and the worst pick of the draft was spent at 4.37 on a running back listed as unavailable.
The Power Board
click any column to sort · scrolls sideways on narrow screens
Table scrolls sideways →
Expected wins shown with the 10th–90th percentile range across 50,000 seasons. Even the favourite’s range runs from a losing record to a runaway.
Week One
opening matchups, best-lineup projections
Where Each Roster Is Strong
projected points from the best lineup at each slot · rank of 12
Grid scrolls sideways →
Kicker and defense are shown for completeness but are deliberately excluded from every ranking on this page — see the method note.
Steals & Malpractice
value over what the pick slot was worth
Best value ↑ gained
Starter-quality players the rest of the room let go too cheap
Worst value ↓ lost
Rounds 1–10, where a miss is a decision, not bad luck
Team by Team
ordered by draft grade
The Draft Board
every pick, shaded by value gained or lost against the slot
Board scrolls sideways → · arrow keys move between picks
Footnote Reconciling the board turned up a discrepancy — bluehat made sixteen picks, theolejimster fourteen. The only trade in this league’s history explains the gap, and it has aged badly for one of them. What happened
- Weeks 1–4, 2025
theolejimster starts 1–3. bluehat starts 4–0 and leads the league. Nothing has happened yet.
- 2 October 2025
theolejimster, at 1–3, sends their 2026 second-round pick to the 4–0 leader for Woody Marks, a rookie running back whose one big game — 27.9 points — had happened four days earlier. No FAAB, no other piece. One pick, one player.
- Rest of 2025
Marks averages 9.3 points a game across the twelve games he plays for them. theolejimster finishes 7–6, seventh, and misses the six-team playoff. bluehat finishes 10–3 and first.
- 2026 draft, pick 20
bluehat spends the acquired pick on Brock Bowers — 254 projected points, the anchor of the second-best tight end room in the league and a large part of why this roster is the best one here.
- 2026 draft, pick 147
bluehat drafts Woody Marks back, 127 picks later, at his market price of 149. They end the sequence holding Bowers and Marks. theolejimster ends it holding neither, and making fourteen picks instead of fifteen.
The verdict
Not close. A 1–3 team traded a second-round pick to the 4–0 team for a rental, which is the wrong direction on both counts, and paid premium future capital for a committee back who was freely available in the thirteenth round five months later. The pick became a top-two tight end. The player became a healthy scratch you can have for nothing.
In fairness
1–3 in a thirteen-week season is not dead, and they did climb back to 7–6. This is a keeper league with two keepers, so a second-rounder is worth less here than it would be in dynasty. And Marks had just gone for 27.9 — the buy was not random, it was just late. None of which changes the price: pick 20 for a player the market valued at pick 149.
Trade completed 2 Oct 2025, consented by both managers, no veto. Verified against the 2025 league’s transaction log, final standings and playoff bracket.